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There are a whole host of factors to consider before investing
in shares, which are only touched on briefly here:
Rates of commission
Different rates of commission are charged on the various types
of stocks and shares which are dealt in the market. Basically,
ordinary shares, convertibles and foreign stocks attract the
highest rates of commission, and government securities, permanent
interest-bearing shares (PIBS), and loan stocks, the lowest
rates. Commission rates are also lower on larger transactions,
with investors able to negotiate terms on large transactions.
Dealing arrangements
Most stockbrokers offer a range of services from corporate
finance to dealing on an execution-only basis. Investors should
decide which service they require and contact the relevant
department. It is usual for stockbrokers’ clients to
be allocated an individual within the firm who will deal with
their account and to whom any orders or questions should be
directed. This individual has to be suitably qualified to
give investment advice and to carry out Stock Exchange business.
Timing and Market Conditions
Although share price trends have been on a general downward
trend since the turn of the millennium, within the overall
movement they have been very volatile at times. The timing
of sales and purchases of stocks or shares can make very substantial
differences to investment returns, particularly in the short
term.
Economic Cycles
The stock market basically follows economic cycles so that
there are periods of upward movement (bull markets or phases)
followed by periods of decline (bear markets or phases). Ideal
timing involves buying shares in bull phases and selling when
the evidence suggests that a long bear phase is about to set
in. However, this is much easier said than done, as the future
is extremely unpredictable.
Other factors affecting volatility
The volatility of individual shares relates not only to the
state of the market generally, but also to significant events
directly affecting the company. The most obvious is the announcement
of results. The share price may move up or down before the
announcement in anticipation of good or bad results. If the
results are in line with expectations there should be little
subsequent movement in the share price. If they are worse
than expected, the share price will fall, and if better, the
share price will rise.
Other significant events are bids for the company, changes
in the capital structure, acquisitions of other businesses
and so on.
It is important to appreciate that in the short term the
market frequently over-reacts to information and rumour. While
it is usually right in direction, it is often wrong in extent,
and so corrections take place. Therefore, if a share price
rises substantially, it may well fall back. Investors who
do not take this into account run the risk of buying ‘at
the top’ of the movement and miss the opportunity to
buy lower down on the reaction. Similarly, when shares fall,
investors should be wary of selling ‘at the bottom’
before the upward reaction sets in.
It can be difficult, time consuming and sometimes costly
for most private individuals to keep in touch with matters
affecting the timing of purchases and sales. However, professional
investors are rarely consistently successful at timing either.
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